Tuesday, June 24, 2008
Una tormenta de granizo de sólo dos minutos provoca daños en huertas, viñedos y casas
Has rural development money been wasted?
He argues that a lot of white elephants are being financed with 2nd pillar money because there is more money available than good projects. In particular, some job creation projects are not creating the jobs.
He considers that it would be better to shift money into research and development than rural development policy. Of the increase in production between 1961 and 2000, only 22 per cent was due to an increase in land area. The remaining 78 per cent was due to improvements in yields. That is why increasing productivity remains the key.
He points out that the justification for direct payments to farmers keeps shifting. Initially, he thought they were made in order to compensate farmers for quality regulations they have to observe that competitors outside the EU don't have to observe and that they are being compensated for the production of public goods.
However, he had not seen any analysis that suggested that the amount of public goods and the competitive disadvantage for farmers is as high as €400 a hectare. Farm payments should be reduced to a reasonable level that reflected the public goods being produced by agriculture and represent some compensation for the competitive disadvantage for quality regulations in the EU.Any source
Monday, June 23, 2008
How To Interpret Ratios?
Sharpe Ratio:
Sharpe ratio gives a single value to be used for the performance ranking of various funds or portfolios . It measurse the risk premium of the portfolio relative to the total amount of risk in the portfolio. This risk premium is the difference between the portfolio's average rate of return and the riskless rate of return.
| Formula | Rp- Irf |
| SDp |
where; Rp stands for return on portfolio;
Irf means Risk free rate of return which in
SDp: Standard deviation of portfolio.Which is the total risk.
The advantage of sharpe ratio is that it assigns highest values to assets that have best risk adjusted average rate of return. It is also known as reward to volatility ratio.
Example: A company is considering the ranking of two industries based in
| Industry | Expected Return | Standard Deviation |
| FMCG | 18% | 2 |
| Banking | 12% | 1.5 |
Risk free rate of return is 7%. and return on market portfolio is 16%.
Rank both these industries.
Putting the above mentioned formula we get
| FMCG: | Rp- Irf |
| SDp |
we get (18-7)/2=5.5%
Similarly we get 3.33% for banking.
So FMCG industry is better because the return on risk taken is higher in comparison to Banking.
The greater the portfolio’s sharpe ratio, the better is the risk adjusted performance. In Simple terms, Sharpe Ratio indicates the clear difference between the portfolios created by two different funds. For eg. If XYZ Fund has given 50% returns in 1 year & has a Sharpe Ratio of 1 & there is another fund ABC which has given 35% return over the same period with a Sharpe ratio of 2, then on the basis of Sharpe ratio, ABC fund is a better choice as it comes with a lesser risk but higher risk adjusted performance.
Expense ratio:
It measures expenses incurred by the investment company to operate mutual funds. The costs of owning a fund are called the expense ratio. This is distinct from the costs of buying a fund, which are the sales loads. The expense ratio represents the percentage of funds assets that go purely towards the expense of running the fund. The expense ratio covers the fees paid to fund manger, costs incurred in record keeping, custodial services, taxes, legal expenses, audit fees, accounting fees.It is also known as management expense ratio.Operating expense includes the fees paid to fund manager, costs incurred in record keeping; custodial services , taxes, legal expenses, audit fees.accounting fees
Alpha:
Alpha takes the volatility in price of a mutual fund and compares its risk adjusted performance to a benchmark index. The excess return of the fund relative to the returns of benchmark index is a fund’s ALPHA.
It is calculated as a return which is earned in excess of the return generated by CAPM.
Alpha is often considered to represent the value that a portfolio manager adds to or subtracts from a fund's return.
A positive alpha of 1.0 means the fund has outperformed its benchmark index by 1%. Correspondingly, a similar negative alpha would indicate an underperformance of 1%.
If a CAPM analysis estimates that a portfolio should earn 35% return based on the risk of the portfolio but the portfolio actually earns 40%, the portfolio's alpha would be 5%. This 5% is the excess return over what was predicted in the CAPM model. This 5% is ALPHA.
Beta:
Beta measures the sensitivity of the stock to the market. For example if beta=1.5; it means the stock price will change by 1.5% for every 1% change in sensex.
It is also used to measure the systematic risk. Systematic risk means risks which are external to the organisation like competition, government policies. They are non-diversifiable risks. Beta of the market is always 1. The best index fund will have beta value equal to the market namely 1.
If beta>1 then aggressive stocks
If beta<1 then defensive stocks
If beta=1 then neutral
Price to Earnings ratio:
Popularly known as P\E Ratio.
It shows how much an investor is willing to pay for every Rupee earned by the company. A P\E ratio of a stock is 14, it means an investor is willing to pay Rs.14/- for every
Re 1/- earnings by the company. It also tells lot about the future growth/ earnings of the stock.
| Formula:= | Market price per share =P\E ratio. |
| Earnings Per share |
Eg: Consider the share price of reliance(RIL) to be Rs.500/-;Earnings of the company be RS.500000/- and number of outstanding shares be 5000
| Where EPS= | Rs500000= Rs100/- |
| 5000 |
| Then P\E= | 500 = 5. |
| 100 |
Conclusion: an investor is willing to pay Rs 5/- for every rupee company would be earning in future.
Important point: If the P\E of two stocks A & B is:
A 20
B 10
It does not mean that stock A is overvalued and stock B is undervalued. It just means that the investors have more confidence in the growth story of stock A rather than stock B.
However, the P/E ratio doesn't tell us the whole story by itself. It's usually more useful to compare the P/E ratios of one company to other companies in the same industry, to the market in general or against the company's own historical P/E. It would not be useful for investors using the P/E ratio as a basis for their investment to compare the P/E of a technology company to a consumer goods company as each industry has much different growth prospects.
The biggest drawback in case of P\E valuation is that the Earnings in the denominator is an accounting concept which is prone to manipulation by the company.
Price-to-Book Ratio:
A ratio used to compare a stock's market value to its book value. It is calculated by dividing the current closing price of the stock by the latest quarter's book value per share.
It measures how aggressively the market values the firm.
A lower P/B ratio could mean that the stock is undervalued. However, it could also mean that something is fundamentally wrong with the company.
Price –To-Sales Ratio:
It is a ratio which is used to value start-up firms, since they do not have profit to show so sales is considered. Price to sales is calculated by dividing a stock's current price by its revenue per share for the trailing 12 months
A low P/S ratio is better since the investor would be paying less for each unit of sales
Price Earnings to Growth ratio:
Commonly known as PEG ratio.
It measures the value of the firm while taking into account the earnings growth.
PEG Ratio = Price earnings ratio
Annual EPS Growth
Investors prefer to use PEG ratio to value the firm instead of P/E ratio because PEG takes into consideration the factor called growth.
A lower PEG means that the stock is undervalued.
Keep in mind that the numbers used are projected and, therefore, can be less accurate. Also, there are many variations using earnings from different time periods (i.e. one year vs five year). Be sure to know the exact method your source is using.
Praveen Kumar
www.laymansfinance.blogspot.com
Canvis a la vista
Tanmateix, demà dimarts tindrem un dia una mica variable, tot i que difícilment arribarà a ploure a Tossa. No obstant, cap a la meitat oest i interior de Catalunya es podrien registrar tempestes, localment intenses degut al pas d’una petita bossa freda en alçada.
Tanmateix, trobem l’índex LI (Lifted Index) de fins a -6, un valor tan negatiu que es tradueix en fenòmens molts severs i extrems (a partir d’aquest valor es donen els fenòmens tornàdics). Aquest valor LI té en compte la temperatura i humitat a 950 hPa i 500 hPa, i quan els valors són negatius significa que tenim inestabilitat i que les corrents ascendents seran més fortes i permetran el desenvolupament de grans tempestes.
Any source
Faster search for Nokia smartphones now available in eight international flavours
Back in February we announced a new search shortcut for Nokia smartphones. We've been really pleased with the uptake and with the very positive reaction it's received from the Symbian community. Even though we launched it in the US, we saw some very interesting usage patterns -- people all around the world were downloading and using it.
Of course, Symbian phones are popular almost everywhere. So we're now releasing an international version of the search shortcut for those of you in Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Russia and the UK. Nokia smartphone owners in these countries can now enjoy 40% faster search and get Google search results from their own country.
It's a free download. Just add it to your phone now by going to the URL for your country using the phone's browser and then choosing the download link for Search. The download and installation should only take a minute or so and you'll be good to go. Happy searching!
Any source
Quotazioni a portata di clic
Vi siete mai chiesti come sta andando un certo titolo azionario in Borsa? E magari non sapevate come ottenere questa informazione al volo? Da oggi è possibile direttamente dalla home page di Google.Abbiamo infatti lanciato una nuova funzionalità nel nostro motore di ricerca, che vi permette di ottenere delle informazioni utili sui titoli di borsa e il loro andamento, semplicemente inserendo delle parole chiave opportune.
Un esempio? Una volta collegati a www.google.it, provate a cercare il nome del titolo e "azione", senza le doppie virgolette... e... magia! Ecco un breve box informativo che mostra l'andamento del titolo di borsa cercato, insieme ad una serie di link utili ad approfondire il discorso, in cima ai risultati di ricerca.
Bene. Non ci resta che augurare buona ricerca a tutti!Any source
Segunda noche tropical del año
A las 0:33 horas, la temperatura ha sido de 23,5ºC
A las 0:58 horas, la temperatura ha sido de 23,3ºC
A las 1:34 horas, la temperatura ha sido de 23,0ºC
A las 1:59 horas, la temperatura ha sido de 22,6ºC
A las 2:29 horas, la temperatura ha sido de 21,4ºC
A las 2:59 horas, la temperatura ha sido de 21,2ºC
A las 3:29 horas, la temperatura ha sido de 21,0ºC
A las 3:59 horas, la temperatura ha sido de 21,0ºC
A las 4:29 horas, la temperatura ha sido de 20,6ºC
A las 4:59 horas, la temperatura ha sido de 20,7ºC
...
A las 6:35 horas, la temperatura ha sido de 20,1ºC --> Momento en el que se ha registrado la mínima tropical.
Tras ver esta lista, podemos decir que la temperatura ha bajado muy lentamente con zonas de estancamiento térmico. Además el viento de poniente ha aparecido en intervalos cortos de tiempo durante la noche, que ha podido estancar o subir la tempetratura cuando este soplaba.
No es de extrañar que en los próximos días tengamos varias noches tropicales seguidas debido a que las temperaturas máximas que se van a registrar van a ser muy altas, sobretodo mañana. Cuidado que mañana podemos alcanzar valores muy cercanos a los 40ºC.Any source
