Analisi ed evoluzione 31 - 01 - 02 Maggio-Giugno 2010

Buonasera a tutti!!











Quest'oggi una veloce perturabazione atlantica proveniente da N-W sta per valicare le Alpi, e si estenderà in Valpadana nella notte su lunedì. Il fronte sarà accompagnato da brevi ma intensi temporali, che già lunedì si concentreranno sul Nord-est e lungo il versante Adriatico, con accentuazione dei fenomeni nelle ore centrali ed estensione alle zone interne del centro-sud. Nei giorni successivi graduale deciso miglioramento e ritorno dell'alta pressione.

Finalmente torneranno anche le onde, quelle vere e di misura buona sulla costa ovest, mentre alquanto incerte, brevi e piccole in costa est.

Vediamo ora i dettagli.



SINTESI METEO



LUNEDÌ bello al nord, fronte in azione tra Umbria, Lazio, medio e basso Adriatico con temporali, seguiti da rapido miglioramento. Maestrale forte in Sardegna.

MARTEDÌ torna il bel tempo ovunque, con modesti addensamenti pomeridiani in Appennino (con temporali isolati) e qualche stratificazione in arrivo in serata al nord-ovest.

MERCOLEDÌ un po' di instabilità al nord-est e lungo l'Appennino, con brevi rovesci o temporali possibili. Bel tempo altrove. Venti in attenuazione ovunque verso sera.





PREVISIONI SURF





Mar Ligure



Lunedì 31: Al mattino onde da ponente in crescita su tutti i settori, con mare già ben allungato e misura sui 1,5-1,8 m sul settore di levante, mentre 1 metro circa sul settore di ponente. Dal primo pomeriggio ingresso di venti da Nord sottocosta, con misura sempre sul metro in lieve calo a ponente, mentre 1,5 m e + a levante, con onde sempre più pulite e regolari sui settori centrali e dell'alto levante, mentre venti attivi da N-NW scendendo verso sud, in calo verso sera.

Martedì 1: Onde da maestrale lungo su tutto il settore centrale e di levante (da Genova in poi), con misura al mattino intorno a 1-1-2 m, mentre al pomeriggio lieve calo, ma sempre fino al metro più a sud. Brezze tese da N-W nel pomeriggio sottocosta, in particolare scendendo verso sud.

Mercoledì 2: Sul settore estremo di levante (dalla Versilia in giù) ancora onde da maestrale lungo, tendenti a resistere fino a sera, anche se in calo. Misura sui 0,5-0,8 m. Venti deboli sottocosta, assenti al mattino.





Isole Maggiori



Lunedì 31: Onde con mare e venti attivi da W-NW su entrambe le isole, di misura considerevole già dal primo mattino sulla Sardegna occidentale, mentre in aumento col passar delle ore sulla Sicilia. Misura di 2-2,5 m sulla Sardegna N-W, e 1,5-1,8 m più a sud ma in aumento nel pomeriggio; 1 m al mattino in rapida crescita sulla Sicilia occidentale, fino a 1,5-1,8 nel pomeriggio.

Martedì 1: Onde da NW su entrambe le isole, con venti moderati sottocosta, e misura di 1,8-2 m, in calo nel pomeriggio fino a 1,5 m circa verso sera, con venti in leggero calo.

Mercoledì 2: Nuovo impulso di maestrale al mattino, in calo nel pomeriggio. Quindi onde di 1,5 + sulla Sardegna al mattino, in calo nel pomeriggio, con venti al moderati-forti sottocosta al mattino, in calo nel pomeriggio. Onde da 1-1,3 m da N-W sulla Sicilia, con misura maggiore sulla coste a sw, ma con venti moderati, mentre meno misura ma più pulita sulle coste settentrionali.





Mar Tirreno



Lunedì 31: Onde da ponente in aumento al mattino e scaduta nel tardo pomeriggio a partire dai settori più a nord. Venti da moderati a forti da W, tendenti a girare a NW verso sera. Misura da 0,8-1 m al primo mattino in crescita fino a 1,5 m + verso sera sul settore centrale e meridionale, mentre a nord onde sempre sul metro pieno o poco più.

Martedì 1: Al mattino onde di 0,8-1 m da ponente in scaduta sui settori meridionali, poco mosso altrove. Calo ulteriore fino a poco mosso nel pomeriggio anche a sud.

Mercoledì 2: Mari in genere poco mossi, con possibili piccole onde da ponente lungo sulla Calabria tirrenica (0,5 m, max 0,8m).





Mar Ionio



Lunedì 31: Mari in genere calmi o poco mossi. Nel pomeriggio possibili piccole onde sul tallone d'Italia (Puglia meridionale) da SW, con venti attivi e periodo corto, in crescita e miglioramento verso sera.

Martedì 1: Mari calmi o al più poco mossi, per venti da terra sottocosta.

Mercoledì 2: Mari calmi o poco mossi.





Mar Adriatico



Lunedì 31: Situazione molto dinamica: ad un primo momento di garbino (SW) al mattino, seguirà gradualmente una rapida e netta rotazione dei venti verso N e poi N-E, in concomitanza del passaggio di veloci temporali, localmente intensi. L'impulso di bora sembra dover essere piuttosto rapido, con onde in rapido aumento nel primo pomeriggio a partire dalla Romagna. Non è sicuro che riescano ad entrare anche nel Ravennate (causa probabile maggior rotazione a Nord), ma stando alle mappe attuali, si può stimare onde nel pomeriggio in rapida estensione verso le marche e in serata sull'Abruzzo, mentre più a nord il vento cala rapidamente. Perciò probabile 0,5-0,8 m da N-E nel pomeriggio (anche sul Ravennate per essere ottimisti), onde attive e confuse all'inizio, ma in miglioramento subito dopo con scaduta decente verso sera,ma piuttosto rapida.

Martedì 1: Ondelle da N-W sul medio e basso Adriatico al mattino (0,5 m max), solo sul basso Adriatico nel pomeriggio, con venti moderati al mattino ed in calo nel pomeriggio a partire da nord.

Mercoledì 2: Mari generalmente calmi o poco mossi.





Situazione del moto ondoso sul Mediterraneo

prevista dal Lamma per le 11 di Lunedì

Situazione del vento a 10 m slm prevista da GFS

per le 14 di Lunedì, che mette ben in risalto l'impulso forte e rapido sull'Adriatico.







Al prossimo aggiornamento!!

Any source

Mardi 8 Juin 2010 orages

Beaucoup d'orages pour ce Mardi 8 Juin 2010 ?

Matin :
Les basses pressions domineraient toute la France ; ce serait la tendance officielle.
Dans les faits, l'anticyclone pourrait ne pas trop s'éloigner de l'hexagone.
Concrètement, le temps serait très instable dès le début de la journée : de nombreuses averses se produiraient sur tout le territoire prenant parfois un caractère orageux comme sur la Corse par exemple.

Les températures minimales oscilleraient entre 12°C à Aurillac et 19°C à Nice en passant par 13°C à Boulogne sur mer, 15°C à Paris et 16°C à La Rochelle.

Après midi :
Pas de changement au niveau de la couleur du ciel !
Il se noircirait même davantage avec une advection d'air chaud couplée avec de l'air froid d'altitude : du coup, le temps virerait à l'orage sur la plupart des régions avec une préférence pour la montagne.
Difficile d'être précis à cette échéance.

Les températures maximales seraient plus ou moins conformes aux normes de saison : elles partiraient de 18°C à Cherbourg pour aller à 20°C à Lille, 21°C à Rennes et 22°C à Strasbourg.
Au Sud, entre 20°C à Bourg Saint Maurice et 25°C à Argeles sur mer (Pyrénées Orientales) en passant par 23°C à Bordeaux et 24°C à Ajaccio.Any source

Donations through CIMB Cares

In conjunction with Wesak Day, this is a very meaningful topic. 

Previously, I am facing difficulties in performing such an angel act – Donations.

I am sure everyone of you faced situations when someone approaching you to make donations to…

And, maybe you think:

“Is this fellow trying to con me?”

“Will he channel the funds for the real purpose?”

“Why not I donate directly to the designated organizations?”

Frankly, I’m thinking of the 3^rd questions most of the time. (Sorry to those approaches)

However, where am I going to donate directly?

Is it very troublesome to go there?

Are there any alternative ways?

From now on, you can make donations to your favorites charity organizations, through CIMB Cares. Etc. WWF, MAKNA, Mercy Malaysia… It’s convenient, secure and 100% of your donation goes to your chosen charitable organization.

There are 4 categories of charitable organizations, namely Environment, Education, Welfare, and Healthcare. The online fund raising portal makes donating a breeze. You can make donations of any amount to any of the participating NGOs. Payments can be made as a one time donation or you can set up a standing instruction for it.

Log on www.cimbclicks.com.my/cimbcares.htm and experience the pleasure of donating today.

Any source

Essential Oils to Avoid During Pregnancy

There is a lot of information out there about which essential oils to use and to avoid during pregnancy. Many different sites and aromatherapy books list essential oils to avoid during pregnancy, but unfortunately, much of this information is conflicting and unclear. Why does one list say a particular essential oil is okay, while another list says "avoid when pregnant?" Does the "avoid" mean internally or externally, too? The aim of this series of articles is to clear up the confusion and specify the particular risks involved with certain essential oils based on chemistry and toxicology data, and not just rumors and folklore.

Essential Oils Everyone Should Avoid At All Times, Internally and Externally
These essential oils contain dangerous compounds. Avoid them in aromatherapy, personal care products, and internally.

Cade (Contains Benzo[a]pyrene, a known carcinogen.)
Sassafras (Contains Safrole, a possible carcinogen.)
Ravensara anisata (Contains Estragole, a possible carcinogen.)
Basil (Contains Estragole, a possible carcinogen.)
Tarragon (Contains Estragole, a possible carcinogen.)
Camphor (Contains Safrole, a possible carcinogen, and contains Camphor [the compound] which is a neurotoxin and convulsant.)
Calamus (Contains Beta-asarone, a possible carcinogen.)
Tarragon (Contains Estragole and Methyleugenol, possible carcinogens.)
Snakeroot (Contains Methyleugenol, a possible carcinogen.)
Malaleuca bracteata (Contains Methyleugenol, a possible carcinogen.)
Bitter Almond (Contains Hydrocyanic acid, which is highly toxic.)
Armolse (Contains Thujone, a neurotoxin known to cause convulsions.)
Sweet Birch (Contains Methyl salicylate, which is highly toxic.)
Boldo (Contains Ascaridole, which is extremely toxic.)
Buchu (Contains Pulegone, which is toxic to the liver.)
Cassia (Contains Cinnamaldehyde, a liver toxin and skin sensitizer.)
Cinnamon Bark (Contains Cinnamaldehyde, a liver toxin and skin sensitizer.)
Costus (Contains Costuslactone, a strong skin sensitizer.)
Elecampane (Contains Alantalactone, a strong skin sensitizer.)
Horseradish (Contains Allyl isothicyanate, extremely toxic and irritating to skin and mucous membranes.)
Lanyana (Contains Thujone, a neurotoxin known to cause convulsions.)
Mustard (Allyl isothicyanate, extremely toxic and irritating to skin and mucous membranes.)
Pennyroyal (Contains Pulegone, which is toxic to the liver.)
Dalmatian Sage (Contains Thujone, a neurotoxin known to cause convulsions.)
Tansy (Contains Thujone, a neurotoxin known to cause convulsions.)
Thuja (Contains Thujone, a neurotoxin known to cause convulsions.)
Wintergreen (Contains high amounts of Methyl salicylate, which is highly toxic.)
Wormseed (Contains Ascaridole, which is extremely toxic.)
Wormwood (Contains Thujone, a neurotoxin known to cause convulsions.)

Essential Oils to Avoid During Pregnancy, Externally or Internally

Balsamite (Contains Camphor, a neurotoxin and convulsant.)
Ho leaf (Contains Camphor, a neurotoxin and convulsant.)
Hyssop (Contains Pinocamphone, which is generally toxic, a neurotoxin, and convulsant.)
Indian Dill Seed (Contains Apiol, which is generally toxic, an abortifacient, and toxic to the fetus.)
Juniperus Pfitzeriana (Contains Sabinyl acetate, known to be an abortifacient.)
Parsley Leaf (Contains Apiol, which is generally toxic, an abortifacient, and toxic to the fetus.)
Parsleyseed (Contains Apiol, which is a generally toxic, an abortifacient, and toxic to the fetus.)
Plectranthus (Contains Sabinyl acetate, known to be an abortifacient.)
Sage (Spanish) (Contains Sabinyl acetate, known to be an abortifacient.)
Savin (Contains Sabinyl acetate, known to be an abortifacient.)
Annual Wormwood (Contains Artemisia ketone, which is possibly toxic and a neurotoxin)
Cangerana (Contains Safrole, a possible carcinogen.)
Lavandula Stoechas (Contains Camphor which is a neurotoxin and convulsant.)
Lavender cotton (Contains Artemisia ketone, which is possibly toxic and a neurotoxin.)
Oakmoss (Contains Thujone, a neurotoxin known to cause convulsions.)
Perilla (Contains Perilla ketone, which is potentially toxic.)
Rue (Has a strong folk history of being an abortifacient with a small amount of clinical evidence to back it up. It is not known which compounds are to blame, but it is likely that its general toxicity is to blame for its possible abortifacient nature.)
Treemoss (Contains Thujone, a neurotoxin known to cause convulsions.)

Essential Oils that are Safe for External, but not Internal Use During Pregnancy
Anise (Contains Trans-anethole, which displays weakly estrogenic activity. The amount absorbed through skin when used in a cosmetic item would not affect hormonal levels, however, an oral dose could have an effect.)
Fennel (Also contains Trans-anethole.)
Lavandin (Contains a small amount of Camphor. The amount that would be absorbed through the skin in a personal care product is 500 times less than the amount needed to cause a deleterious effect, so it is considered safe for topical use, but it would be prudent to avoid an internal dose.)
Nutmeg and Mace (similar chemically) (Animal studies have proven no ill effects to the mother or fetus when applied externally. There is one case study of a pregnant woman who ate a high amount of nutmeg in a cookie; she and her baby started having heart palpitations. Everything returned to normal after 12 hours. It is thought that the stimulant effect of the Myristicin in the spice was to blame. The amount of Myristicin that would be absorbed through a properly diluted personal care product containing nutmeg or mace would not be great enough to cause this effect.)
Rosemary (Contains a small amount of Camphor. [See lavandin.])
Spike lavender (Contains a small amount of Camphor. [See lavandin.])
Yarrow (Contains a small amount of Camphor. [See lavandin.])

Your Questions Answered

I have heard that lemongrass is not safe during pregnancy. Is this true?
Rumors about Lemongrass being unsafe started with a study about citral, the main component of lemongrass essential oil. Doses of citral were injected in to lab rats, and the rats became less fertile at a dose of .3 g/kg. This is equivalent to injecting around 30 ml (2 tbs) of lemongrass essential oil in to the abdomen every 4-5 days for 60 days. Wearing a lotion or product with lemongrass in it doesn't provide the dose to see any side effect.

Are there any essential oils I should avoid when I'm trying to become pregnant?
Follow the same guidelines and lists that I've outlined above.

Are there any essential oils that help increase milk production during lactation?
No. There is no scientific data to suggest that any essential oil used externally would increase lactation.

What's the truth about Lavender & Tea Tree? Are they really estrogenic?
They are not! Check out my previous article on the subject.

Some lists say citrus oils should be avoided during pregnancy. Is this true?
There is no reason to avoid citrus oils during pregnancy. The only side effect of a citrus essential oil is that it if left on skin in a high concentration and then exposed to strong sunlight, it can increase sunburn or cause a rash. This reaction varies from person to person and depends on their own sensitivities.

What about ________ essential oil? I've read it should be avoided during pregnancy.
Everything but those on the lists above are safe to use for aromatherapy purposes (lotions, soaps, in diffusers, etc) during pregnancy. All essential oils are very powerful substances. Essential oils should always be diluted properly (.5% to 5% depending on the oil) in a carrier oil. Do not use undiluted on skin. Always consult a reputable healthcare provider, herbalist, or naturopath before using any essential oil internally.

If there is a particular essential oil you're concerned about, write it in the comments below and I'll be happy to give you an analysis!
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End of Month Open Thread

Well, it's been quite a month for the markets and I hope that those of you who were unfamiliar with financial markets have learned something here. This open thread is a chance to share your thoughts, experiences, suggestions, or whatever else you feel like.Any source

What’s the deal with the Conservatives?

I’ve held off until now to comment on the goings on in the Conservative Party but with Alun Cairns new dual role as an AM and MP a direct result of Nick Bourne's insistence that he doesn’t want Chris Smart the next on the Tory Regional list to be an Assembly Member or in his group shows how off his political judgement is and has been since he got caught in the expenses storm a while ago that threatened his leadership of the Tory Group, and it seems Nick’s poor judgement has been spreading to the wider party.

The Welsh Conservative Board decision is just the latest in an already long line of gaffes, bad political decisions and insensitive moves that the Conservatives in Westminster and Cardiff Bay have offered their opponents on a plate to exploit since the new Government was formed, and in a part of the world where anti Tory sentiment is quite easy to stir even among non Labour and Plaid Cymru supporters the new Government needs to wake up and get smarter.

But Nick and his team in the Assembly aren't alone, the new Tory Secretary of State Cheryl Gillan is living down to expectations and making Peter Hain look good. As well as her referendum reply and the failure to sound at least semi-concerned about the cuts coming Wales way this year, she is also keeping her Special Advisor Sam Gibbs who worked with her in Opposition, he is someone I have been told knows very little about Wales and Welsh politics and needs a lot of informing on Welsh matters by Tory advisors in the Assembly – it’s no wonder Cheryl is looking like a rabbit caught in the headlights.

As Valleys Mam has said why isn’t Cheryl looking for a Welsh Conservative who knows a thing or two about Wales, Welsh politics and the way things work in Wales to counter some of the accusations that were around even before the Election campaign about her suitability.

The thing that would worry me if I were a Conservative is that there seems no obvious answer to rectifying the Party’s current problems, Cheryl Gillan is unlikely to be moved soon, Nick Bourne won’t go quietly and David Cameron for all his nice words was never interested in Wales or the Assembly only votes and seats in the General Election.

Their opponents they must think it’s Christmas we know Labour and Plaid Cymru are turning all their fire on the Liberal Democrats at the moment to try and unsettle them, but if the Tories carry on the way they are the Coalition partners in Cardiff Bay can leave them alone to dig their own graves and simply keep all the pressure on the Lib Dems resulting in the real possibility of cleaning up in next year’s in the Assembly Elections.

As for the Welsh Liberal Democrats they will have to hope the Conservatives avoid any more unnecessary gaffes and the traps set for them by Labour and Plaid Cymru or things could get very hairy for them both in the next 12 months.Any source

Lundi 7 Juin 2010 orageux

Forte instabilité pour ce Lundi 7 Juin 2010 ?

Matin :
L'anticyclone se décalerait au niveau des Açores mais remonterait jusque sur l'Ouest de l'Islande.
Coté système dépressionnaire, il occuperait toute l'Europe de l'Ouest.
Du coup, un flux de Nord-Ouest serait au programme : de nombreuses averses séviraient un peu partout épargnant peut-être le Sud-Est de la France.

Les températures minimales oscilleraient entre 12°C à Aurillac et 18°C à Cannes en passant par 13°C à Lille, 15°C à Paris et 16°C à La Rochelle.

Après midi :
Avec l'ensoleillement et la douceur au sol, le temps virerait à l'orage sur toute la France !
Grosse activité électrique en perspective avec un air se faisant plus frais que la veille.

Les températures maximales seraient conformes aux normes de saison : elles partiraient de 19°C à Cherbourg pour aller à 20°C à Lille, 21°C à Nantes et 22°C à Strasbourg.
Au Sud, entre 20°C à Bourg Saint Maurice et 25°C à Perpignan en passant par 23°C à Bordeaux et 24°C à Ajaccio.Any source