Monday, September 13, 2010

Plaid might have good arguments, but Labour will still win the Election

I didn’t see the coverage of Plaid Cymru conference over the weekend, but from the TV bulletins, newspapers and various commentators and bloggers it seems that Plaid Cymru are in good spirits for the battles that lie ahead - probably a wise move, if they simply continued to complain about everything people would stop listening to them.

So they are trying to move on after their poor General Election campaign, the ongoing rows between Cardiff and London over the more powers referendum and Labour stealing their best ideas and arguments on a range of issues since May and getting credit for it and they needed a new narrative, but I’m not sure they have found one that will connect with people.

After all Wales has world champion Conservative bashers with a long track record in the form of Labour and most people I talk too seem to have already forgotten Labour's role in the financial mess and recession, so bashing Labour won’t work as well as they are hoping either.

But Plaid’s biggest problem is that the Welsh Assembly campaign will almost certainly be like the General Election campaign dominated by UK issues, mainly the public service cuts to come and who will be best as defending Wales communities from the harshest impact of Con/Lib Dem cuts which suits Labour, who have a ready-made script of evil Tories and their Lib Dems helpers, savage cuts that will hit the poorest hardest and apocalyptic visions of Wales ready to reel off to an ever receptive Welsh electorate.

Add to that the UK media in the run up to May Election’s will be pumping out pro or anti Alternative Vote messages as well as the latest cuts news and not on issues to do with the Welsh Assembly and Plaid Cymru’s optimism in Aberystwyth seem to be misplaced at best. (The less said about the lack of impact the Welsh media will have on events next year is probably for the best.)

All of which reinforces my initial response to the General Election when I said then that Labour would be the main beneficiary in Wales of the Con/Lib Dem Government and their cuts agenda because of our reliance on the public sector, but maybe Plaid will prove me wrong.Any source

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