Showing posts with label Parker Gallant. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Parker Gallant. Show all posts

Monday, September 23, 2013

Parker Gallant to Energy Minister Chiarelli: another idea?



[Tongue in Cheek Letter # 3]
September 22, 2013
The Honourable Bob Chiarelli, Minister of Energy,
Dear Minister:
By now you have probably received both my September 9thand my September 13th letters but haven't had the chance to reply because of your busy schedule.  I saw a picture of you smiling while at the International  Plowing Match in Mitchell last week, and a delightful picture of you with the Mothers Against Wind Turbines, so I know you have been running around the province doing lots of things.

In the meantime my family has been doing a lot of research and they have almost convinced me that instead of not producing electricity from industrial wind turbines I should look at not  producing it from solar panels.  They pointed out to me that rooftop solar pays 39.6 cents for not producing as long as you have 5 megawatts or more installed.  Now that would take a pretty big roof as I understand that solar needs about 44,000 square feet per megawatt, so you would need a darn big barn.

My barn is pretty small so wouldn't work but I was thinking that the old Picton Air Base might be just the place.  I could look into renting the roofs if you could promise me one of those nice Ontario Power Authority contracts for the solar power that I will not produce.   I have attached an aerial photo of the Air Base (look at all those empty roof tops) so you can get some idea of what we are talking about.  I wouldn't actually put any panels up because it doesn't make sense to spend all that money on panels to produce power that you plan on paying me to not produce.


If you think I need to put up some solar panels I will, but, if that happens, I hope that I can get one of those nice grants from Deborah Doncaster at the Community Energy Partnerships Program (CEPP) that your Ministry gave money to.  I sure hope they still have some of that $10 million left.  A $500,000 grant would sure buy a lot of panels that I could use to not produce power and be paid $396.00 per megawatt hour for what they won't produce.  I am hoping that I won't need to install any, however, so that we can save some money for other people that are going to produce power that we might export to New York or Michigan.  

I would greatly appreciate it if you could you put in a kind word to Ms. Doncaster for me just in case I need some panels for show.  In the meantime I will look into renting those roof tops. Looking forward to your positive response,
Parker Gallant

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily Wind Concerns Ontario.

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Friday, September 20, 2013

Saving money with smart meters: the Liberal promise



On April 19, 2004, the Premier of Ontario, Dalton McGuinty, said in a speech to the Ontario Legislature, “Smart meters, together with more flexible pricing, would allow Ontarians to save money if they run appliances in off-peak hours.”
   A few days ago Rosemary Leclaire, CEO of the Ontario Energy Board (OEB),  delivered the following message in her speech to the  Ontario Energy Association:  We are using data supplied by a number of utilities to analyze the impact of time-of-use pricing on peak consumption. Early results show that residential customers are cutting their consumption during high price periods and shifting their peak usage until after 7 PM.
   The two quotes are years apart but are related.  Did we really save money by shifting usage as McGuinty claimed or was that simply political hyperbole?   Since his speech electricity rates have risen 65% and delivery rates even more.  Then, add the HST.
   The Ministry of Energy (MOE) tells us we can save moneywith smart meters:  Shift electricity use to off-peak periods. With smart meters and time-of-use pricing, you can save money by switching some of your energy use to mid- and off-peak hours when electricity prices are lower.
   Well, here’s the truth: the money we can save does not come, as McGuinty and the MOE suggest,  from simply adjusting our use of appliances in off-peak hours. No, to really save money, you have to leave the province for at least five months and  head south where electricity rates are much lower (See the EIA reported  all-in electricity rates here.).
   This sad truth was revealed to me in an e-mail sent by someone with an interest in my writings about the Ontario electricity sector.  He described how he and his wife save money by moving to Florida for five months every year.  In fact, he said, their travel costs are paid for with the money saved by leaving Ontario.   Here is what he said.

February in Florida the coolest month I used electric heat, electric stove, and electric water heater, plus TV, microwave, lights, computer, radio etc.  I used 479 KW at a gross cost of $48.89. That's 10 cents per kW. Meanwhile in Ontario my house at 9 degrees C with natural gas using fans, fridge on, sump pump.  Telephone and clocks on stove, microwave and radio getting power. I used 133 kW for a cost of $59.64 in an empty house. That's 44 cents a kW. When the house is occupied I use about 700 kW per month. Higher in the cooler months, I would estimate much higher in the cold ones. In April- May 2013, I used 752 kW for a gross charge of 176.00 or .234 cents a kW.
So if my winter costs were the same as April - May, my five-and-a-half-month cost is $968.  My five-and-a-half-month Florida cost averages $30.00 or $165 US.  I don't really know what my February bill would be if I stayed home--I can only assume it would be more than $176.00  If I do the Florida trip in one night, my expenses down and back are around $500 for gas, motel and
food.

Florida is not the cheapest state for US electricity rates (it’s 16% under the US average) but the foregoing does highlight the cost of electricity in Ontario versus much of the US East Coast.   Those states are ones that Ontario often competes with for jobs. 
   Curiously, a side issue of the Florida story is that the principal provider of electricity is Florida Light and Power (FLP) a subsidiary of Juno, FL-based NextEra.  The company has several contracts with the Ontario Power Authority for industrial wind projects and plans to develop 600 MW in Ontario.
   One can only conclude that the Ontario Government's handling of the energy portfolio in Ontario has driven jobs south, attracted foreign companies looking for big payoffs, granted those companies carte blanche to kill, harm and harass our birds, bats and turtles, reduced our property values, caused health problems in rural communities, and, yes, driven our electricity bills up. 
   In the end it appears that McGuinty spoke the truth--he just didn't tell us we would have to leave our province for five months to “save money”. 

Parker Gallant,
September 18, 2013
PS:  NextEra contributed the maximum amount ($9,300) to the Ontario Liberal Party in both 2011 and 2012.

The opinions expressed are those of the writer and not necessarily Wind Concerns Ontario policy.

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Wednesday, September 18, 2013

When it comes to cheap power, who is Michigan and New York's BFF? Ontario!

Parker Gallant and Scott Luft (of the Cold Air blog) have teamed up for this disheartening analysis of what happens to Ontario's surplus power. Short answer: we're giving it away!
Here is the posting from the Energy Probe website.

Parker Gallant and Scott Luft: Michigan and New York’s best friend–Ontario

(September 18, 2013) The press releases flowing from the Ministry of Energy’s offices have been many over the past several years and claim a variety of wonderful things despite the mundane attributes of the electricity sector.
One such release dated January 12, 2012 claimed Ontario earned $13 million by exporting its surplus power in December 2011 and that it “keeps costs down” for ratepayers. It also said 20,000 jobs had been created and that the GEA was on track to create 50,000 jobs by the end of 2012. Fast forward a year and a half to a press release dated June 20, 2013 about the revised Samsung contract which claimed that the GEA had created just 31,000 jobs.
The latter claim indicates that the target was missed by at least 19,000 jobs. We now know that most of those jobs were short-term construction jobs to erect wind turbines and install solar panels. We no longer see press releases that claim we earn money from selling our surplus power to the likes of Michigan and New York, perhaps because the Auditor General in his 2011 Annual Report stated that “from 2005 to the end of our audit in 2011, Ontario received $1.8 billion less for its electricity exports than what it actually cost electricity ratepayers of Ontario.” When you examine the Independent Electricity System Operator’s data you quickly learn why the Ministry no longer brags about earning revenue from exports or keeping costs down for ratepayers. The exporting of our surplus power was the subject of a joint article over two years ago but the impact at the time was at a lower dollar level.
Looking at data for the first eight months of 2013 and comparing it to the same period in 2012 discloses that while we are exporting more power (an increase of 23% year over year) it is costing Ontario’s ratepayers more. For the first eight months of 2012 we sold Michigan and New York 8.3 million megawatt hours (MWh) or enough to power over 800,000 homes and for the first eight months of 2013 Michigan and New York bought 10.1 million MWh or enough to power over one million Ontario homes. The market value (Hourly Ontario Energy Price) of power sold to NY and Michigan in 2012 indicates approximate revenues of $182 million and $262 million for 2013. On the surface it makes it appear that Ontario earned $80 million more but that sale price doesn’t include what we Ontario ratepayers refer to as the Global Adjustment (GA) which is described by IESO as:
The Global Adjustment (GA) is the difference between the total payments made to certain contracted or regulated generators/demand management projects, and market revenues.
The GA is the huge basket that picks up the difference between the guaranteed “contracted” generation and the market price (the amount we sold our power to Michigan and New York for). That basket has been growing at an incredible pace over the past few years as renewable energy (wind and solar) are added to the grid.
chart2
What that means is that Ontario’s ratepayers wound up subsidizing those export sales. We estimate that in the first eight months of 2012 Ontario’s ratepayers picked up the GA costs of $420 million and in 2013 the subsidy bill was $584 million or an increase of 39% for the same period. Put another way; for each kilowatt hour (kWh) of exports in 2012, Ontario subsidized GA costs of 5.1 cents per kWh and for the same period in 2013 that subsidy had jumped to 5.8 cents per kWh. At the time of the Auditor General’s report, only 20 months ago, the subsidy was estimated to be 3 to 4 cents per kWh.
Since the Auditor General reported on the cost of exports, we estimate the net exports through New York and Michigan interties* have sold for more than $1.2 billion less than Ontarians paid for the same amount of electricity, which makes the estimated gas plant moves seem cheap as those subsidies will continue to grow. The Ontario Power Authority (OPA) has delivered contracts to the wind and solar developers that will increase their generation capacity by upwards of 60% with most of that cost flowing to the GA basket.
What Ontario exported in the most recent eight month period is equivalent to what might be produced (intermittently when it’s not needed) by 3,700 MW of wind turbines (another 1,700 towers spread throughout Ontario) or 8,000 MW of solar panels (using 64,000 acres of land). The foregoing assumes wind turbines produce at a 29% level of capacity and solar panels at a 15% level.
The interesting and disturbing fact that has emerged since Premier Wynne has become the leader of the Liberal Party is that we have seen an acceleration in the implementation of contracts awarded for wind turbine projects despite the downsizing of the Samsung contract. Under Wynne’s short term as our Premier, Ontario has awarded as many, if not more Renewable Energy Approvals for wind turbine projects as were granted under McGuinty’s term. The reasoning behind this sudden rush to wind has caused consternation throughout the Province as 67** municipalities have declared themselves “unwilling hosts”, which they were invited to do by Premier Wynne in her Throne Speech. While mouthing a desire for conversation with the “unwilling hosts,” Wynne is set to add more than 3000 MW of “transmission connected” wind capacity in the next 18 months, double the amount existing when she became Premier.
The projection of an $8-billion annual Global Adjustment basket in the “Power Dumping” article of two years ago looks set to become a reality near the end of the current year. In the interim, both Michigan and New York are no doubt very happy the Ontario Liberals have created such a mess of the Ontario electricity system and hopefully appreciate the generosity of Ontario’s ratepayers.

Parker Gallant is a retired bank executive and a former director of Energy Probe Research Foundation. Scott Luft is a former retailer with a statistical interest in Ontario electricity data.
As with all independent bloggers on this site, the views of the authors do not necessarily reflect those of Energy Probe.

 * An "intertie" is where the connection point is to export or import electricity between different grids and represents the flow of electricity.  The IESO do a daily report here: http://www.ieso.ca/imoweb/marketdata/intertieSchedule.asp
**Editor's note: 68 communities have declared they are Not a Willing Host as of September 18


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Saturday, September 14, 2013

Ontario losing "hundreds of millions" with power scheme

Parker Gallant, who analyzes the Ontario power system and comments frequently in this space and for The Financial Post in its series "Ontario's Power Trip", appeared yesterday on journalist Rob Snow's program on CFRA radio, Ottawa. While Energy Minister Bob Chiarelli claims Ontario is "making money" selling excess power, Parker says this isn't true: in fact, he says, Ontario is losing "hundreds of millions" with the way it manages the system.
  He explains everything in 10 minutes or less...10 very sad minutes for Ontario.
  The podcast of his interview is begins at minute 1:06 on the podcast.

Parker Gallant pictured from SUN-TV interview

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Thursday, September 12, 2013

Dear Minister Chiarelli [2]: are we broke?

[Tongue in Cheek Letter # 2]
September 12, 2013
The Honourable Bob Chiarelli, Minister of Energy,
Dear Minister Chiarelli:
I know that I just sent you my letter on September 9thabout not producing electricity from industrial wind turbines a few days ago and didn't expect an answer back for a few more days, but I have read some news that has me concerned that the reasons for not producing power might be in trouble.
   One of the stories I read in Forbes magazine talked about global warming and it said “Global Warming is broke.”  Do you know anything about that? I was kind of counting on the extra cash that would be paid to me for not producing power.
   A story from Natural News talked about Arctic ice.  Apparently, Arctic ice is growing and is 920,000 square miles bigger this year than last year.  The article said polar bears are very strong swimmers but Mr. Suzuki said they were at risk if we didn't curb greenhouse gas emissions--I am not sure what the author was trying to say.  I thought Suzuki and Al Gore said greenhouse gases were going to melt the ice and that's why we have to put up wind turbines and solar panels.  Do you know anything about this or the polar bears?
   And yet another story in the Toronto Sun by Lorne Gunter on September 11, 2013 said the Earth hasn't warmed in the past 16 or 17 years. The IPCC has some really bad climate-model computers, according to some German study.   That study claimed that all 65 of the IPCCs computers didn't forecast the “17-year pause in temperature rise.”
  All this information has got me somewhat alarmed and my family is now rethinking the idea of getting into the non-production of electricity. They’re on my case about whether I should continue on the path of non-production of electricity from industrial wind turbines.
  I was heartened, however, by the good news from you that was reported in the Montreal Gazette.   I'm sure your staff pointed it out but just in case they didn't here is what it said;  Meanwhile, Chiarelli says Ontario is making a net profit of up to $6 billion a year on importing and exporting electricity.
  Now $6 billion a year is a lot of money so it sure doesn't sound like your Ministry is “broke.”  I was kind of wondering what you do with all that money because the electricity rates are still going up.  Do you use it to pay wind developers for not producing power?   If the answer to that question is “yes” then it sure looks like my letter of September 9thto you will get a favourable response.
  Maybe I shouldn't worry so much if we are making all that money exporting our power.   We will still need some power in Ontario and hopefully your Ministry will continue to pay us for not producing it.  We should consider exporting some more electricity so that Ontario can earn even more money and you can continue your program paying people to not produce it.
  Looking forward to your assurances that the program to pay for the non-production of wind and solar electricity generation is not going to be cancelled.

Yours truly,

Parker Gallant
The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily Wind Concerns Ontario policy.

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Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Parker Gallant: Ontario's smart grid--expensive, but not 'smart'



On November 23, 2010, Ontario’s then Minister of Energy, Brad Duguid, issued a directive via an Order In Council to the Ontario Energy Board (OEB), with instructions on the “smart grid”:
“…it is desirable that the Province and the Ontario Energy Board move forward together with a plan to implement the advanced information exchange systems and equipment that together comprise the Smart Grid (“Smart Grid”), as defined in the amendments to the Electricity Act, 1998 made by the Green Energy and Green Economy Act, 2009…”
   The Duguid directive was a direct result of the Dwight Duncan directive of 2004 to the OEB instructing them to arrange the installation of “smart meters” throughout the province. 
   Co-incidentally (noted by Tom Adams), the Duguid directive is dated the same day as the e-mail exchange between Alicia Johnston (formerly a senior political staffer for Energy Minister Brad Duguid, later promoted to the Premier’s Office) and Ben Chin (a senior Ontario Power Authority executive).  That e-mail exchange contained Ms Johnston’s suggestion to engage Tyler Hamilton, a  contributor to Toronto Star, as an “expert” to counter the  Adams and Gallant duo who “are killing me” ; Chin agreed. Shortly after, Hamilton received a contract from the Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO) for a report on the smart grid.
    The fact is, the Independent Electricity System Operator or IESO had already started work on the “smart grid” as noted in the Financial Post article on July 6, 2010 — costs of development were estimated at $1.6 billion.  IESO had awarded a contract to IBM according to a January 15, 2007 press release; the purpose of the contract was defined as:  the development and operation of Ontario's Meter Data Management/Repository (MDM/R).”
A culture of conservation
The MDM/R is explained as: "a core part of Ontario’s Smart Metering Initiative to drive a culture of conservation, enabling the billing of Time-of-Use rates and encouraging consumers to shift more of their energy use to off-peak periods.” The initiative would apply to 4.7 million customers of local distribution companies, involving more than “100 million transactions every day."
   More than six years later, that “Repository” has yet to generate reports on either shifting consumer habits or “imbedded generation.” (Embedded or distributed generation is usually a small scale production of power connected within the distribution network and not having direct access to the transmission network. These generators are typically located close to the electricity consumer.)
   But that hasn't stopped IESO from awarding IBM yet another five-year contract for $68.5 million for the same “repository” with an option to extend the contract seven to ten years. With an estimated 100 million data feeds daily from “smart meters” one would expect that data to be accessible to determine what production comes from embedded generators such as rooftop or ground-mounted solar, to reinforce the “culture of conservation” and identify shifts in consumer habits. 
  Is this a missed opportunity for a cost/benefit analysis?
  On July 16 of this year, Energy Minister  Bob Chiarelli arranged a press release about conservation and claimed that “Ontario has saved billions of dollars through conservation, and we have a clear opportunity to do more. By investing in conservation before new generation, where cost-effective, we can save ratepayers money and give consumers new technology to track and control energy use.
  What caught my eye in that press release were the endorsements: they were not from the usual climate change chorus such as Environmental Defence, CAPE,or the Ontario Clean Air Alliance. The last one was  “Sheldon Levy, President, Ryerson University.”  What would possess the President of Ryerson University to jump on this band wagon? 
  A month later, we have the answer:  on August 26, 2013  a news release announced that Ryerson University's Centre for Urban Energy(CUE) “will build an innovative smart grid laboratory” with support from the province.  The press release doesn't say how much the province is coughing up but does say “Building a smarter grid is an important part of the Ontario government's plan to modernize the electricity system in the province and provide clean, reliable and affordable power to consumers.  One can assume President levy’s endorsement of the July conservation announcement was sought by the Ministry as a condition of support for  the smart grid laboratory.  CUE was launched in 2010 with $7 million in grants from taxpayer-owned Hydro One, Toronto Hydro and the Ontario Power Authority.
  A  Globe and Mail article dated October 17, 2012, called “The tricky business of funding a university” carried the following comments about Ryerson's CUE:
“Some schools have tiptoed the line successfully. Toronto's Ryerson University launched its Centre for Urban Energy (CUE) two years ago using $7-million in contributions from three partners – Hydro One, Toronto Hydro and the Ontario Power Authority – and is now hoping to enlist new collaborators such as Siemens and General Electric.”
   It appears that President Levy knows exactly how to “tiptoe the line.” CUE's intentions to collaborate with GE and Siemens are also interesting.  An announcement by Minister Chiarelli on July 2, 2013  indicates that the $50-million “Smart Grid” fund has already provided grants to GE, Siemens and IBM.
   Just asking: did the grants to GE and Siemens carry a proviso that they collaborate with CUE and did they both seek those grants?  It is not clear why IBM would need a grant as they have been awarded two long-term, multi-million dollar contracts from IESO.  The press release indicates the IBM grant was to create a centre “that will use and analyze smart meter data” which is what they are already supposed to be doing for IESO under the terms of the contract(s)!
Government grants to huge corporations
   So, we hand out grants to multi-billion dollar corporations such as GE, Siemens and IBM and  award them government contracts.  The first two entities are entrenched in the renewable energy business (turbines and blade manufacturing) so, to an extent they are dependent on commitments to more wind power by the Ministry of Energy. And, IBM won two contracts related to the data analysis of 4.7 million smart meters installed throughout the province.
  (I checked the Ontario Lobbyist Registry and could only find GE with registered lobbyists.)
   As noted above, the original estimate to create the smart grid was $1.6 billion, to be paid by Ontario's ratepayers.  IESO stick-handled the first smart grid rate application through the OEB and ratepayers have paid for it since May 1, 2013.  It is included, but hidden, with the delivery costs charged by your local distribution company (LDC).  It is a charge of .79 cents per month and referred to as a “Smart Metering Entity charge.”  Your LDC will collect this for the next five and a half years.  Doing the math on this rate hike indicates that it will cover $245 million of that $1.6 billion —so be prepared for further “hidden” increases as spending is ramped up. 
   As noted, the MDM/R definition it is really all about conservation and enabling those 72 LDCs to bill on a Time-of-Use basis.  Those “smart meters” and “smart grid” will cost ratepayers $4 billion and will not produce one kilowatt of new power.  I suspect that Environmental Commissioner Gord Miller doesn't consider the above costs or the costs of the smart meters, when he presents his annual report to the Minister of the Environment.  The Commissioner's cost/benefit study uses only the annual spending of the Ontario Power Authority (media advertising, free fridge pickup, coupons to purchase CFL bulbs, etc.) which paints the cost of “conservation” as only three cents per kilowatt hour. 
   In addition,  a posting on Scott Luft’s website indicates that time-of use pricing has shifted consumers’ energy use to what used to be “off-peak” periods (noted as an objective of the MDT/R). As a result, those periods have now become “peak” demand periods for ordinary consumers, beginning at 7 PM, rather than mid-day.  Ontario's ratepayers are now trained to eat our supper and wash our clothes later, not because we want to, but because electricity has become so costly we only use it during the off-peak hours!
   Perhaps the Dalton McGuinty government should have simply doubled the price of electricity when they came to power in 2003 and we would have immediately started to conserve.   Think of the money we could have saved, the countryside we would not have despoiled with industrial wind turbines, the harm to health not caused, the birds and bats not killed, and the property values that would nothave fallen!
   Too bad politicians don't grasp the simple law of supply and demand.

Parker Gallant.
September 11, 2013
The opinions expressed are those of the author and do not represent Wind Concerns Ontario policy.

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