You wait ages for opinion polls on Welsh politics and this week we’ve had two, I almost can’t cope. There’s also some interesting findings in a Hansard Parliamentary report and a UK poll for Channel 4 in the marginals across the UK to report on.
First to that Hansard Report on MP’s and Parliament that says 40% of us in Wales think Welsh Assembly is more important than the UK Parliament and 16% that think Westminster is more important than the Welsh Assembly and 18% of us think out MP’s are doing a good job compares to around 30% in England and Scotland, are we Welsh more cynical or simply better judges of character?
On to the second opinion poll of the week, the latest ITV Wales Tracker poll on General Election voting intentions shows Labour up 3 to 37, the Tories down 3 to 29, the Lib Dems down 1 to 12, and Plaid up 1 to 14 according to the experts that means the Conservatives would pick up 6 seats in Wales leaving Lab on 24, Cons 9, Lib Dems 3, Plaid 3 and 1 Independent. This poll seems to chime with Labour's new found confidence after last weekends conference in Swansea.
The poll also asked about who would make the best leader, Gordon Brown and David Cameron were both on 28%, Ieuan Wyn Jones was at 13%, Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg was on 11% with 21% unable to make a decision on any of the leaders. Some good news for Plaid Cymru’s leader not so for the Lib Dems.
On the referendum question on law making powers, the ITV Wales poll found that 53% of people said Yes and 31% who would vote NO, this poll like the BBC Wales one at the start of the week showed an increase in support for full law making powers.
Finally there is an interesting UK poll carried out by YouGov/Channel 4 yesterday in the marginals and showed a gap of just 2% with the Con 39% (-3) Lab 37 (+1) LD 14 (+1) it means the Conservatives would be short of an overall majority to form a Government, so a hung parliament at the moment is odds on.
More in Depth analysis from The Druid and Welsh RamblingsAny source
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