Friday, May 7, 2010

As clear as mud

I have been busy of late so I didn’t stay up last night, but well done to those who did, it seems things are about as clear today as they have been for the last 4 weeks – not very.

The Conservatives did well in England, they won 5 extra seats in Wales and stood still in Scotland with only 1 MP, can they govern with less than 326 seats as a minority or will David Cameron do some deals?

The Labour Party in the UK had a bad night across England, but remains Wales’s largest political force although down on seats and vote share, could they still be in Government if a deal can be done with the Lib Dems and can Gordon Brown really stay on as PM?

The same Lib Dems who got squeezed badly while Lembit Opik lost his seat, but they did hang on to the Ceredigion and got significant swings in Wrexham, Pontypridd and Merthyr which could be possible targets for the Assembly Elections next year.

Plaid Cymru also got squeezed but unlike the SNP didn’t lose any seats and its not all bad news ahead of the Assembly elections, but they will have to run a better campaign for sure and i still think they missed Adam Price.

Well done to former Assembly Member Glyn Davies winning in Montgomeryshire against Lembit Opik – i wonder with a different Liberal Democrat MP would they have held the seat?

The other thing is who replaces new Vale of Glamorgan MP Alun Cairns as an Assembly Member for the Tories in Cardiff Bay, Alun's success also means a reshuffle for Nick Bourne and we all know what happened last time there was a Welsh Tory reshuffle.

And finally well done to both Lib Dem Amy Kitcher in Merthyr who achieved a 17% swing against Dai Havard and to Conservative Angela Jones Evans in Cardiff West for ruffling a few feathers in Rhodri Morgan’s backyard against Kevin Brennan although they didn’t win the seats.Any source

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