Super Tuesday rundown

The Super Tuesday elections are tomorrow, and it could go a long way in determining who ultimately becomes the Republican nominee for President.  At present, polling seems to show Mitt Romney with the momentum, though as we have seen time and time again this cycle, final results are extremely volatile!

In total, 410 delegates (about 18% of the total) will be awarded tomorrow.  Here's a look of what states vote and how the delegates are allocated:

• Georgia:  76 delegates.  42 awarded by the winner of a Congressional district, 31 proportionately by the winner of the state and the final 3 by the overall winner of the state.  Polling here shoes Newt Gingrich as the likely winner.
• Ohio:  66 delegates.  48 awarded by the winner of a Congressional district, 15 by proportionately by the winner of the state and another 3 super delegates that can do whatever they want.  This race is neck and neck between Romney and Santorum.
• Tennessee:  58 delegates.  27 by the winner of a Congressional district, 28 proportionately by the winner of the state and another 3 super delegates who can do whatever they want.  Santorum has the lead here, but Romney has been closing.
• Virginia:  46 delegates.  33 by the winner of a Congressional district, 13 winner-take-all by whoever wins the state.  Only Romney and Paul are on the ballot here as a result of very strict ballot requirements that kept other candidates off; as a result, Romney is virtually assured to win.
• Oklahoma:  43 delegates. 15 by the winner of a Congressional district, 25 proportionately by the winner of the state and another 3 super delegates who can do whatever they want.  Santorum is expected to win here.
• Massachusetts:  41 delegates.  38 proportionately by the winner of the state and another 3 super delegates who can do whatever they want.  Romney will cruise to a victory here.
• Idaho:  32 delegates.  Winner take all, by county.  BUT, if the winner of the county delegate count gets over 50% of the delegates, he wins all 32 delegates; otherwise, the delegates are allocated proportionately.  Nice and confusing.  No polling has been done in Idaho.
• North Dakota:  32 delegates.  Delegate allocation is tied proportionately to the vote.  No polling done.
• Alaska:  27 delegates will be decided over a two week caucus.  24 awarded proportionately based on the state-wide vote, with another 3 super delegates that can vote for anyone.  No polling.
• Vermont:  17 delegates.   14 awarded proportionately based on the state-wide vote, with another 3 super delegates that can vote for anyone.  No recent polling.

Wow.  Why are rules so complicated?

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